TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Genoa and Juventus, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It reflects how bettors and analysts might assess the competitive balance and expected performance of both teams in a high-stakes league fixture. The result depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential score differentials in the Genoa versus Juventus Serie A match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Genoa winning by more than 2.5 goals, Genoa winning by more than 1.5 goals, Juventus winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Juventus winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event is purely observational and does not imply any endorsement or affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities. Trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and differences can simply reflect varying levels of information or differing opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifts in sentiment. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Genoa vs Juventus match will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Genoa or Juventus would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about managerial decisions or internal team dynamics could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment and cause prices to fluctuate.