TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Serie A match between Genoa and Fiorentina. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Genoa vs Fiorentina professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome is determined by whether the combined goals exceed thresholds of 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all calculations. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective judgment of many traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see prediction markets converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Genoa vs Fiorentina match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Genoa vs Fiorentina match will be used to determine the total goals scored. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The market’s resolution process is designed to be efficient and reliable.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Genoa or Fiorentina would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi could shift the price, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals is crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on market movements.