TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma
Volume:
$1,716,648
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Serie A match between Genoa CFC and AS Roma scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the three possible outcomes: Genoa win, Roma win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Genoa win, Roma win, Tie) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary outcome structure with separate markets for each result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as currently written—it cannot resolve correctly. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and should be used as the authoritative reference. Request clarification or reissuance from Kalshi before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure specifies: If Tie wins, resolve Yes. If Genoa wins, resolve Yes. If Roma wins, resolve Yes. Since exactly one outcome must occur in any match, all three conditions cannot be evaluated independently. This is a data integrity failure.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise; (2) Genoa Win market resolves Yes if Genoa wins, No otherwise; (3) Roma Win market resolves Yes if Roma wins, No otherwise. Cancellation without makeup: Draw resolves Yes, Genoa and Roma markets resolve No. Standard binary logic applied consistently.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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