TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 10 at 9:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 10 at 9:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. Examining these differences can be valuable for identifying potential mispricings and informed betting opportunities, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and doesn't rely on external factors or oracles beyond the eventual outcome verification. The current volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding different possibilities.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Genoa vs. Fiorentina match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on that official result. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to this date for any potential impacts on the event.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Genoa or Fiorentina would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, might also lead to price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive the market in a particular direction.