TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:15h:24m
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This prediction market group concerns the outcome of the second half of a Serie A soccer match between Genoa CFC and AC Milan. Participants are predicting which team will win the second half, or if it will end in a draw, based on goals scored during regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Genoa CFC and AC Milan, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Genoa CFC" if Genoa CFC score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Genoa CFC and AC Milan score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than Genoa CFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Genoa CFC and AC Milan, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Genoa CFC" if Genoa CFC score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Genoa CFC and AC Milan score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than Genoa CFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. Prediction markets, in contrast, are driven by individuals wagering their own capital, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can still be valuable, especially when considering factors not fully captured by the prediction market, such as team news or injuries. The difference in odds can also be influenced by market liquidity and the specific expertise of participants on each platform.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in trader demographics, available liquidity, and differing opinions on the teams' form. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a unique set of users with potentially different information and risk tolerances, leading to distinct price discovery processes. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—currently $0 overall—can influence price volatility and create temporary discrepancies. These differences reflect the independent nature of each market and the diverse perspectives of their respective participants.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Genoa vs. Milan second half – whether Genoa CFC wins, AC Milan wins, or the half ends in a draw – will be used to determine the winning outcome. This market’s resolution is based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. The outcome will be determined by the official score at the end of the second half, including any added time.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Key events include any late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Genoa CFC or AC Milan, tactical changes announced by the managers, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis. Live game events during the first half, such as red cards or early goals, will also likely cause substantial price movements. Unexpected weather conditions could also play a role, influencing the style of play and potentially favoring one team over the other, impacting the outcome of this market.