TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan
polymarket
opinion
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan?

Total volume:
$3,680
Volume 24h:
$3,172
554%
Liquidity:
$32,671
29%
Open interest:
$3,285
1,590%

Milan

all

4 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Opinion

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:17h:29m

Milan wins

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 54¢ buys you 185 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $185 | Net Profit: $85 Multiplier: 1.85x | ROI: 85% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Milan

Trade
53%
1%
Yes 54¢No 48¢
2¢
N/A
$3,333
1,660%
N/A
$3,280
5d 17h 29m
Active
polymarket

AC Milan

Trade
53%
Yes 54¢No 48¢
2¢
$8,454
$130
28%
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 29m
Active
opinion

AC Milan wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 29m
Active
predict

MIL

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
$3,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 16h 29m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
53%
Yes 54¢No 48¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
64%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
N/A
$3
0%
N/A
$3
5d 17h 29m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan)

Trade
27%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
$6,030
$130
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 29m
Active
opinion

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 29m
Active
predict

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
$3,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 16h 29m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26.5%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
Avg: 1.3¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Genoa

Trade
29%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
N/A
$3
0%
N/A
$2
5d 17h 29m
Active
polymarket

Genoa CFC

Trade
21%
1%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
$7,031
$81
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 29m
Active
opinion

Genoa wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 29m
Active
predict

GEN

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
$3,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 16h 29m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
20.8%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 12

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Serie A soccer match between Genoa CFC and AC Milan on November 8, 2026. Markets ask whether Genoa, Milan, or a draw will occur, focusing on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves the draw market to 'Yes' upon cancellation, while Kalshi keeps markets open.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. Polymarket's draw market benefits from cancellation, while Kalshi's markets remain open, potentially leading to a different outcome if the game is rescheduled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the draw market resolves to 'Yes', and the win markets resolve to 'No'. Primary source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, the markets remain open until the game is completed. Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using official statistics as the primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Genoa CFC and AC Milan.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Genoa vs Milan professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Genoa wins, the 'Genoa' market resolves to Yes. If Milan wins, the 'Milan' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result within regular time plus stoppage time.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Genoa CFC and AC Milan.

Opinion

This market refers to the Serie A match between Genoa (GEN) and AC Milan (MIL), scheduled for 2026-11-08 14:00 UTC. - GEN: If Genoa wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MIL: If AC Milan wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both GEN and MIL options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates predictions on the outcome of the Genoa vs. Milan match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $3,680, with $377 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the probabilities associated with various outcomes, allowing users to see how the market is interpreting the likelihood of different results. It’s designed to offer a comprehensive overview of prediction market sentiment surrounding this specific football match, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both Polymarket and Kalshi.

Prediction market odds, like those you see on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. This market reflects real-time sentiment, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. As more information becomes available, the odds on this market may converge with, or diverge from, those offered by sportsbooks, depending on how traders interpret the new data.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can vary due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can lead to different price discovery processes. For example, Polymarket currently favors a draw at 53.0%, while Kalshi leans toward an AC Milan win at 64.0%. Differences in trading fees, market maker activity, and even the time of day can also contribute to price discrepancies. These variations are a natural consequence of having multiple independent markets predicting the same event.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Genoa vs. Milan match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result that will trigger settlement.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 8, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Genoa CFC or AC Milan would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. News regarding managerial decisions or tactical changes could also move the market. Finally, any significant public statements from players or coaches could introduce new information and affect the perceived likelihood of different outcomes.