TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Gençlerbirliği SK and Galatasaray SK, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gençlerbirliği SK" if Gençlerbirliği SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Gençlerbirliği SK and Galatasaray SK, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gençlerbirliği SK" if Gençlerbirliği SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or traditional forecasts, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information and incentives. Examining the difference in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook odds can reveal interesting insights into public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of either Galatasaray or Gençlerbirliği scoring the first goal in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on determining which team—Galatasaray or Gençlerbirliği—scores the first goal in the scheduled match. Official match data will be used to determine the winner. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Galatasaray or Gençlerbirliği could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing the price of shares to move. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of this market.