TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Beşiktaş JK
Volume:
$106,525
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Gençlerbirliği SK and Beşiktaş JK scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: whether Beşiktaş wins, whether Gençlerbirliği wins, or whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by official TFF statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Turkish Football Federation (TFF) official statistics at https://tff.org/, with fallback to credible consensus reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Beşiktaş win market resolves Yes if Beşiktaş scores more goals than Gençlerbirliği
- Gençlerbirliği win market resolves Yes if Gençlerbirliği scores more goals than Beşiktaş
- Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals or if match is canceled entirely with no makeup game
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game, draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves to Yes and both win markets resolve to No
- Official Statistics Delay: If TFF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources
- Extra Time and Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time result determines resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published by TFF, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if using credible consensus reporting as fallbackOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.