TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Genesis Championship End of Round 2 Leader
kalshi

Who will lead after Round 2?

Volume:
$46,859

Antoine Rozner

 - Kalshi

Antoine Rozner - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 9:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Antoine Rozner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$25,827
N/A
N/A
$17,837
4d 18h 48m
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Casey Jarvis

View
50%
18%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$5,478
N/A
N/A
$3,095
4d 18h 48m
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Ryan Fox

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,115
N/A
N/A
$4,064
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Martin Couvra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,747
N/A
N/A
$3,747
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Si Woo Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,085
N/A
N/A
$3,027
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Rikuya Hoshino

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
$1,403
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Francesco Laporta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$880
N/A
N/A
$880
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Filippo Celli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Thomas Detry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Mikael Lindberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
$467
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
$424
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Sanghun Shin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
$243
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Dan Bradbury

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
$156
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Frederic Lacroix

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$47
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Nacho Elvira

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Cameron Adam

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Angel Ayora Fanegas

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Yongjun Bae

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Sam Bairstow

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Albin Bergstrom

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Rafa Cabrera Bello

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Jorge Campillo

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Ivan Cantero Gutierrez

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
kalshi

Min-Gyu Cho

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 48m
No
Total markets: 25 of 125

Description

The 2026 Genesis Championship is a prestigious golf tournament where competitors aim to achieve the best score over multiple rounds. This market focuses on identifying which golfer will hold the lead position at the conclusion of the second round, reflecting early tournament momentum and performance.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the leader at the end of Round 2 of the 2026 Genesis Championship. If a specified golfer is the sole leader, the market resolves to 'Yes' for that participant's contract. In the event of a tie for the lead, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions pay the complement of that amount. The payout structure ensures fair resolution regardless of tie scenarios, maintaining transparency and adherence to competitive integrity. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the PGA or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Genesis Championship leaderboard tracks the current implied probabilities of various golfers being the leader after Round 2. You can view the real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $46,682. The total volume traded on this market is $46,733. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to who will be at the top of the leaderboard following the second round of play.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities of various golfers leading after Round 2. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments during the tournament.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official leaderboard after Round 2 of the Genesis Championship is verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer at the top of the leaderboard at that time will determine the winning outcome for this market. The platform will verify the results against official tournament data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official tournament updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding a golfer’s health, form, or playing conditions could shift probabilities. Strong or poor performance during Round 1 will heavily influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or course changes could also play a role. Furthermore, any withdrawals from the tournament would immediately impact the odds of remaining golfers. Monitoring live tournament coverage and official updates will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Nov 8, 2026.