TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 6:47 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks which golfer will be leading after Round 1 of the 2026 Genesis Championship. Currently, Kalshi gives Casey Jarvis a 97.5% probability of leading at the end of the first round. The market resolves based on whether Kiradech Aphibarnrat is the leader at the end of Round 1, as determined by official tournament results. Keep a close watch on the scores coming in on November 8, 2026, as that is the estimated resolution date for this market and will confirm the Round 1 leaderboard.
Kalshi
If Cameron Adam is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kiradech Aphibarnrat is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Ayora Fanegas is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yongjun Bae is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Bairstow is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Albin Bergstrom is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dan Bradbury is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafa Cabrera Bello is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jorge Campillo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ivan Cantero Gutierrez is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Filippo Celli is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Min-Gyu Cho is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wooyoung Cho is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chan Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jinho Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minchel Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seungbin Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ugo Coussaud is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Couvra is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sean Crocker is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jens Dantorp is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gregorio De Leo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Del Rey is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Detry is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wenyi Ding is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Manuel Elvira is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nacho Elvira is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If JaeWoong Eom is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ross Fisher is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Fox is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Girrbach is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricardo Gouveia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oihan Guillamoundeguy is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Gumberg is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andreas Halvorsen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Hidalgo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Hillier is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rikuya Hoshino is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If In-Hoi Hur is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sungjae Im is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Jamieson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yubin Jang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casey Jarvis is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryggs Johnston is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tobias Jonsson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chanmin Jung is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hanmil Jung is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaehyun Jung is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Teayang Jung is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kota Kaneko is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuto Katsuragawa is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Kewalramani is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chanwoo Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hongtaek Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minjun Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Si Woo Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Woo Hyun Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nathan Kimsey is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Kinhult is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeong-Weon Ko is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kazuma Kobori is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacques Kruyswijk is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frederic Lacroix is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joakim Lagergren is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Laporta is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pablo Larrazabal is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Law is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hyungjoon Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Junghwan Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyoung-Hoon Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sang-hee Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sangyeop Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Soo-Min Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Niklas Lemke is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mikael Lindberg is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zander Lombard is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matteo Manassero is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefano Mazzoli is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Micheluzzi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Donghyun Moon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Morrison is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felix Mory is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Doyeob Mun is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Naidoo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shaun Norris is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seung-Taek Oh is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taehoon Ok is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Skov Olesen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrian Otaegui is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Renato Paratore is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eunshin Park is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Il-Hwan Park is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Junghun Park is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sung-Kug Park is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yurav Premlall is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Ravetto is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Robinson-Thompson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Rodrigues is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sebastian Rodriguez Garcia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Antoine Rozner is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Schmidt is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jason Scrivener is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Senior is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shubhankar Sharma is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sanghun Shin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcel Siem is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elvis Smylie is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sebastian Soderberg is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minhyuk Song is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maximilian Steinlechner is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Sterne is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hugo Townsend is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Darius Van Driel is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Johannes Veerman is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quim Vidal is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolai Von Dellingshausen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Euan Walker is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeunghun Wang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robin Williams is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ashun Wu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jiho Yang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zhou Yanhan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Young is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Genesis Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of a golfer’s chances. If you observe a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it may signal an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of a particular golfer leading after Round 1. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a golfer is likely to lead, the price of their contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official leaderboard after Round 1 of the Genesis Championship is verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer listed at the top of the leaderboard at the conclusion of Round 1 will determine the winning outcome for this market. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to verify the final standings and determine the settlement of all contracts related to the Genesis Championship leaderboard.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding a golfer’s health, form, or playing conditions could shift the odds. For example, a key player withdrawing from the tournament or a favorable weather forecast for a particular golfer could lead to increased trading activity in their contract. Live scoring during Round 1 will also be a major driver, as each shot and hole played provides new information and influences traders’ assessments of each golfer’s chances of taking the lead.
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