TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event covers all possible outcomes of the match, including a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Genclerbirligi, a win for Galatasaray, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on either side.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Galatasaray vs Genclerbirligi match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It is important to monitor news and official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Galatasaray or Genclerbirligi would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts, could also influence traders’ perceptions. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or social media, could also drive trading activity and alter the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 17, 2026.