TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:53 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Gefle and Pitea. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for Gefle, a win for Pitea, or a tie.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Gefle vs Pitea professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome corresponds to the specific market: Gefle wins, Pitea wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, tends to be more efficient and can sometimes offer more favorable odds, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. However, it's important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks are based on probabilities and informed opinions, and discrepancies can occur due to differing analyses and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive system for forecasting the result of the Gefle vs Pitea match. This allows for a fluid assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gefle vs Pitea match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact predictions. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, reflecting changing sentiment among traders as they react to new information and analysis.