TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether a team will exceed that threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either the Tampa Bay Buccaneers or the Green Bay Packers in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For any given market, if the specified team scores more points than the stated threshold (e.g., 'over 3.5 points'), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team scores exactly the threshold or fewer, the market resolves to 'No.' All thresholds are set as decimal values, with '.5' indicating that meeting the exact whole number (e.g., 3, 7, 10, etc.) results in a 'No' for that specific market. The resolution depends purely on the official game score as recorded by the league, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. As more information becomes available and more people trade, the prices on Kalshi can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Packers-Buccaneers team total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' (long) or 'sell' (short) side, speculating on whether the actual team total will be above or below the current market price. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome, creating a dynamic and informative market signal. The current price represents the aggregated forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total—the combined score of the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers—will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the actual team total matches the contract price, and proportionally less if it differs. Resolution will occur promptly after the completion of the game, ensuring a timely and accurate outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact the expected scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also affect how this market trades, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.