TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of an upcoming NFL matchup. It specifically evaluates performance during regulation time of the fourth quarter, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on which side demonstrates stronger offensive capability in the last 15 minutes of standard play.
If Tampa Bay wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Green Bay wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by expert opinion, this market can quickly incorporate a wider range of factors and react to real-time developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. A higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the potential winner of the 4th quarter between the Packers and the Buccaneers.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, if any, has the lead at the end of the 4th quarter of the game between the Packers and the Buccaneers. If the game ends in a tie at the end of the 4th quarter, the market will resolve to 'Neither team wins the 4th Quarter'. The outcome is determined by the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a surprising defensive strategy, will undoubtedly shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment and media coverage leading up to and during the game can also play a role in moving the market.