TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers score specifically in the last quarter of their game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the combined score will exceed various point totals.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers exclusively during the 4th quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market has a unique threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points—and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined 4th-quarter score surpasses its respective threshold. All markets share the same foundational rule regarding the counting of points, ensuring consistency across differing difficulty levels. The outcome is determined solely by in-game performance during the specified quarter, with no external factors influencing the resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals in the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of buy and sell interest. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of the implied probability of the 4th quarter's total points.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the 4th quarter of the Packers-Buccaneers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for different totals will not. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. In-game developments during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive performance or a series of turnovers, could shift expectations for the 4th quarter. Public sentiment and large bets from influential traders could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.