TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the third quarter of their scheduled game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring levels in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the combined points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Points from any other quarter or overtime periods are excluded from consideration. The markets cover a range of thresholds, enabling participants to evaluate different levels of scoring intensity for the third quarter. The official game result and scoring data from the governing league will determine the outcome of all markets.
Generally, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, tends to be more efficient and can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbook odds are widely accessible and can be useful for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each source assesses the likelihood of different outcomes in this game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Packers versus Buccaneers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the final score, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the game ends. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead to adjustments in the perceived probability of different 3rd quarter point totals. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also contribute to price fluctuations.