TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the bet to win.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026, will exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. For any given market to resolve as 'Yes,' the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter must surpass the market's specified threshold. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these markets, and all markets are independent, each evaluating a unique point total benchmark. The resolution depends solely on the actual game outcome regarding second-quarter scoring, with no consideration for other quarters or overall game results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability that a particular outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of over or under 17.5 points being scored in the second quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the second quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the second quarter between the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will determine whether the market settles in favor of 'over' or 'under' the specified point threshold. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the definitive source for the final score, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first quarter, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead to adjustments in traders’ expectations and therefore the price of this market.