TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between two prominent NFL teams. It specifically evaluates performance from the start of the third quarter through the end of regulation time, including any overtime periods.
If Tampa Bay wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Green Bay wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi to reflect their collective assessment. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts, and this market may offer a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome – in this case, either the Packers or the Buccaneers winning the second half. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and provides a real-time assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second half will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The specifics of payout amounts are determined by the contract prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant showing by one team, would almost certainly shift expectations and alter the odds on Kalshi. Even broader factors, like significant public betting patterns in sportsbooks, could indirectly influence trader behavior and move the market.