TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Green Bay Packers will win their game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Currently, Kalshi gives Green Bay a 91.0% probability of winning, while Tampa Bay is at 10.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, as determined by the official game result. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if Green Bay wins the fixture scheduled to conclude on October 4, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the specified Pro Football game. If the game ends in a tie, each market resolves to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time trading activity, potentially revealing insights missed by traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Packers-Buccaneers game, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the collective believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by various factors, including news reports, injury updates, and overall public opinion, all reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Packers-Buccaneers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to Oct 4, 2026 to stay informed about any factors that could influence the game’s result and, consequently, this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any major news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during upcoming games could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant weather forecasts for the game day, or even shifts in public sentiment expressed through polls and media coverage, can all contribute to price fluctuations within this market. Monitoring these factors is crucial for informed trading.