TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:11h:58m
$
In the upcoming match between Gaziantep FK and Kasımpaşa SK, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Gaziantep FK" if Gaziantep FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kasımpaşa SK" if Kasımpaşa SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Gaziantep FK and Kasımpaşa SK, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Gaziantep FK" if Gaziantep FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kasımpaşa SK" if Kasımpaşa SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probabilities as assessed by traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing expert opinions or information not yet fully priced into either market. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when a large number of participants contribute to the pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. Currently, the most likely outcome, according to Polymarket, has a probability of 50.5%.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK match. If neither team scores during the match, that outcome will be considered the result. The final result will be determined by official match data and reported by recognized sports news sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gaziantep FK or Kasımpaşa SK would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team management or internal conflicts could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading on Polymarket.