TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in England's National League between Gateshead and Tamworth. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether either team wins outright or if the match ends in a tie within this regulation time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Gateshead vs Tamworth professional English National League soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective 'Gateshead', 'Tamworth', or 'Tie' market if that specific result occurs within regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time outcomes and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likely outcome. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Gateshead vs Tamworth match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's result. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value, representing the aggregated forecast of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism makes Kalshi a unique forecasting tool.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gateshead vs Tamworth match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which outcome – a Gateshead win, a Tamworth win, or a draw – occurred during the scheduled match. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on incorrect outcomes will not. The final result will be clearly documented on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Weather conditions on the day of the match, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the game can influence traders' perceptions and drive price movements. Even late-breaking news about team morale or tactical adjustments could cause fluctuations in this market until the Oct 23, 2026 resolution.