TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:58 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing them can reveal where the crowd disagrees with the experts, or where the market anticipates factors not fully accounted for by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The higher the price of a share, the more likely the market believes that outcome is to happen. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Gateshead vs. Worthing match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the final score against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and impartial resolution. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators or unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major events during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding situation. Public sentiment and social media discussions could also play a role.