TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Indonesia Super League. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within regular time.
The event determines the result of the Garuda Yaksa vs Arema FC professional Indonesia Super League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Garuda Yaksa, a win for Arema FC, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or information asymmetry surrounding the Garuda Yaksa vs Arema FC match. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Garuda Yaksa vs Arema FC match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth and spread indicate the level of agreement or disagreement among participants regarding the likely result of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Garuda Yaksa vs Arema FC match, as declared by the governing football league or organization. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates regarding the match schedule and final results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Garuda Yaksa or Arema FC would likely have a significant impact. News regarding team formations, coaching changes, or internal team dynamics could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match media coverage influencing public perception, could all contribute to changes in trading activity and the overall price of contracts in this market.