TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Gardner-Webb vs Tennessee-Martin college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, determined independently for each market line. Each individual market specifies a different point spread threshold that must be surpassed by either Gardner-Webb or Tennessee-Martin for that particular market to resolve as 'Yes'. No market resolution occurs until the game is officially concluded or the 48-hour postponement window expires without the game beginning.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the game. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Gardner-Webb vs Tennessee-Martin game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game results and is not dependent on any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Gardner-Webb or Tennessee-Martin teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also affect the spread. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and impact the price. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market represents independent predictions.