TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various levels. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, with specific guidelines for postponed games.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by Gardner-Webb and Charleston Southern in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 28.5 to 68.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold-based markets, providing clear criteria for resolution under various scheduling contingencies.
Currently, it's difficult to make a direct comparison between this market and traditional sportsbook odds, as both reflect different types of informed opinion. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of a diverse group of traders. Often, prediction markets can offer a more accurate forecast, especially when there's significant public interest and active trading. However, sportsbook odds provide a readily available benchmark for understanding the perceived probability of different outcomes in this game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final points total. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater belief that the total points will exceed the specified threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, and any new information or shifts in sentiment can quickly impact the market price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Gardner-Webb vs Charleston Southern game will be used to determine whether the 'Over' or 'Under' contract wins. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Gardner-Webb or Charleston Southern would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might affect traders' expectations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements, reflecting shifts in collective sentiment.