TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Gangwon and Incheon Utd. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the Korea K League 1, and only goals scored within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time count.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Gangwon vs Incheon Utd professional soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specified half-goal threshold—ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—within the standard match duration of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from all calculations. All markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a distinct condition for resolution. The underlying match must be officially completed under Korea K League 1 regulations for any market to resolve; otherwise, all markets will be voided. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand among participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome, though it's important to remember each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Gangwon vs Incheon Utd match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences. As more traders participate, the prices converge toward a collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be based on the total number of goals scored in the Gangwon vs Incheon Utd match, as officially recorded by the league organizers. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent determination of the market’s result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gangwon or Incheon Utd would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift prices. Additionally, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news outlets can all contribute to fluctuations in this market.