TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets centered on the goal-differential margin in a professional Korea K League 1 soccer match between Gangwon and Incheon Utd scheduled for October 18, 2026. All markets resolve solely based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team secures a victory exceeding the designated goal-margin threshold — either more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals — as defined per each respective market. Each market operates independently, meaning resolution for one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs with real money. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there’s strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to developments affecting the Gangwon vs Incheon Utd match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Gangwon vs Incheon Utd match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official results published by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Gangwon or Incheon Utd could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, potentially leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding the market’s dynamics.