TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:30 AM EST
Kalshi
The event determines if both Gangwon and Bucheon will score in their Korea K League 1 match set for October 9, 2026. A successful resolution requires each team to score at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Gangwon and Bucheon both score a goal in the Gangwon vs Bucheon Korea K League 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s price is determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both Gangwon and Bucheon scoring. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbook odds can change closer to the event, potentially narrowing any initial gap.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of a 'Both Teams To Score' outcome in the Gangwon vs Bucheon match. This dynamic pricing mechanism distinguishes it from fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Gangwon and Bucheon score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the match's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 9, 2026 resolution. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gangwon or Bucheon would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any major tactical announcements from either team’s manager could influence expectations and move this market.