TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:07 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Gangwon FC and Incheon United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gangwon FC" if Gangwon FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Incheon United FC" if Incheon United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Gangwon FC and Incheon United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gangwon FC" if Gangwon FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Incheon United FC" if Incheon United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, often incorporates a wider range of information and real-time adjustments based on news and sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions, potentially offering value to informed traders who identify mispricings relative to external expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the probability of either Gangwon or Incheon scoring the first goal in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Gangwon FC versus Incheon United FC match. Official match data from recognized sports authorities will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market and distributing payouts to winning share holders.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gangwon or Incheon would likely cause price shifts. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might also play a role, as could significant pre-match analysis from respected football commentators. A late surge in betting volume on either team could also drive price movement, reflecting changing sentiment among traders on Polymarket.