TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Gangwon FC and Bucheon FC 1995, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gangwon FC" if Gangwon FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bucheon FC 1995" if Bucheon FC 1995 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Gangwon FC and Bucheon FC 1995, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gangwon FC" if Gangwon FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bucheon FC 1995" if Bucheon FC 1995 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing Gangwon FC, for example, the price on Polymarket will move in their favor. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when information asymmetry exists or public opinion diverges from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in Gangwon FC to score first, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a growing expectation that they will be the first to find the net. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Gangwon FC versus Bucheon FC 1995 match. Any goals scored during regular play, extra time, or penalty shootouts will be considered. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gangwon FC or Bucheon FC 1995 would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups shortly before the match are also likely to move the market. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate informed opinions and trigger further price adjustments.