TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event determines the winner of map 1 in an upcoming Dota 2 match between GamerLegion and Team Yandex. The outcome is based on which team wins the first map of the match on October 22, 2026.
If GamerLegion wins map 1 in the PARI Universe 2026: GamerLegion vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Yandex wins map 1 in the PARI Universe 2026: GamerLegion vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to differing participant motivations and information access. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that prediction market participants possess information not yet incorporated into sportsbook lines, or that they have a different assessment of the probabilities. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of the perceived probabilities. The current price represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Map 1 in the GamerLegion versus Team Yandex match will determine the settlement of this market. The result will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event concludes and the outcome is officially verified, allowing for a clear determination of winning contracts.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes could all shift probabilities. In-game performance during other matches leading up to the event, or even commentary from esports analysts, can also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map bans or tournament rule changes could also cause significant movement. Any information perceived as affecting the relative strengths of GamerLegion and Team Yandex has the potential to alter the odds until the match begins.