TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cleveland will win a professional baseball game against Chicago WS. Currently, Kalshi gives Cleveland a 99.0% probability of winning, while Chicago WS is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Cleveland vs Chicago WS game originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, as determined by the official result of that contest. Keep a close watch on October 7, 2026, as that is the scheduled date for the game and the end of the betting period for this market.
Markets resolve based on the winner of the Cleveland vs Chicago WS professional baseball game scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after October 7, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical analysis, prediction markets can sometimes reflect more nuanced or insider information as traders react to news and developments. It's common to see discrepancies, with prediction markets potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of Game 3 of the World Series between Cleveland and Chicago. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will not. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or performance analyses from reputable sources could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert predictions, might impact the market. Even seemingly minor developments, if perceived as impactful by a sufficient number of traders, can contribute to movement in this market leading up to Oct 7, 2026.