TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team—New York or Atlanta—will win the women’s professional basketball game originally scheduled for October 7, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Atlanta a 60.0% probability of winning, while New York is at 44.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of this game, as determined by the official result. Traders should watch for the outcome of the game itself, with resolution expected by October 8, 2026, representing the end of the betting period following the scheduled match date.
The event consists of two parallel markets, each tied to the same basketball game between New York and Atlanta scheduled for October 7, 2026. One market resolves to Yes if Atlanta wins the game, while the other resolves to Yes if New York wins. If the game is postponed or delayed, both markets remain open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided this occurs within two days of the original date. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and prices adjust based on collective beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the prediction market price in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies, and sometimes, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome happens. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York vs Atlanta game, as reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the outcome confirmation are determined by Kalshi’s market rules, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions would likely cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market isn't necessarily tied to those. Major shifts in betting patterns on Kalshi itself will also be a key indicator of potential price movement before Oct 8, 2026.