TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Milwaukee team will win a professional baseball game against Los Angeles D. Currently, Kalshi gives Milwaukee a 98.0% probability of winning, while Los Angeles D is at 2.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Milwaukee wins the contest scheduled to conclude by the resolution date of October 13, 2026.
If Los Angeles D wins the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Milwaukee wins the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives from many traders. As more people participate and trade, the odds on Kalshi tend to become more accurate, potentially outperforming traditional sportsbook odds. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful benchmark for comparison, especially early in the market's life cycle.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more contracts are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game between Los Angeles D and Milwaukee, as reported by a trusted sports data source. All trading will cease at the resolution time, and the contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will pay out to their holders. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance shifts could significantly impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader league developments, might also cause the market to react. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Kalshi. Keep an eye on these signals to understand potential shifts in the market’s pricing.