TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Chicago White Sox or the Cleveland Guardians will win a professional baseball game originally scheduled for October 5, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Chicago WS a 77.0% probability of winning, while Cleveland has a 23.0% probability. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on whether the game proceeds as scheduled, as the market resolves fairly if significantly altered, with final resolution expected by October 6, 2026, to account for potential delays.
If Chicago WS wins the Chicago WS vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland wins the Chicago WS vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of people believe a certain result is likely, the price on Kalshi may reflect that more accurately than traditional odds, potentially offering value to informed traders who disagree with the prevailing view. It’s useful to compare both to get a comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chicago vs Cleveland game as determined by official league sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is announced. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the game's result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic shifts could quickly shift probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also cause the price to fluctuate as traders adjust their positions based on new information.