TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Atlanta or Golden State will win their women’s professional basketball game originally scheduled for October 19, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Atlanta a 99.0% probability of winning, while Golden State is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on October 20, 2026, as this is the estimated resolution date for the market and will reflect the conclusion of the game window.
The event resolves based on the winner of the women's professional basketball game between the two teams originally scheduled for October 19, 2026. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. You may find that this market’s probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's a valuable exercise to compare the two to see where discrepancies exist and understand the reasoning behind them.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, offering a real-time gauge of expectations for the game’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Game 2 of the NBA Finals between Atlanta and Golden State, as reported by a trusted sports news source. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Atlanta or a win for Golden State – occurred during the game and assign value to the corresponding contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting lineups, or even coaching strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team conditions or performance could also drive trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the game can play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Major shifts in betting action at sportsbooks could also influence trading on Kalshi.