TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Gamba and Buriram each score at least one goal in their AFC Champions League fixture scheduled for October 28, considering only goals scored in regular time.
If Gamba and Buriram both score a goal in the Gamba vs Buriram AFC Champions League match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who buy and sell contracts based on their own beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see the market odds adjust closer to the event date as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing both teams will score) and ask to sell 'yes' contracts (believing they won't). The current price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction. Traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the outcome and trading contracts accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Gamba Osaka and Buriram United score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gamba Osaka or Buriram United would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions that might affect the game's style could also play a role. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts that contradicts the current market sentiment could trigger trading activity and move the price.