TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC?

Volume:
$436,190

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 5:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,077
N/A
N/A
$60,674
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gamba

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134,072
N/A
N/A
$41,198
Settled
No
polymarket

Gamba Ōsaka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116,773
N/A
N/A
$39,330
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyōto Sanga FC

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Gamba Ōsaka and Kyōto Sanga FC on October 24, 2026. Markets exist for Gamba Ōsaka winning, Kyōto Sanga FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and handle postponements and cancellations consistently.Primary resolution logic: Official J.League statistics (https://www.jleague.jp/en/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team resolves the corresponding win market to 'Yes'.
  • A draw resolves the draw market to 'Yes'.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled with no makeup game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official J.League statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Markets will resolve within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official results are available, whichever is sooner. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Gamba Ōsaka and Kyōto Sanga FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Gamba vs Kyoto Sanga professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific market corresponding to the actual result: Gamba win, Kyoto Sanga win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing solely on the standing at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, conversely, are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient price discovery. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or the level of liquidity in each market. This market provides a unique perspective compared to conventional betting options.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Trading volume can also differ significantly between the two, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design – including fees, margin requirements, and available trading instruments – can influence how traders behave. These differences in user composition, volume, and market mechanics contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market, even though both platforms address the same underlying event.