TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka?

Total volume:
$41
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$3,865
16%
Open interest:
$41N/A

Gamba Ōsaka

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:05h:57m

Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-11-08?

43%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Gamba Ōsaka

Trade
43%
Yes 45¢No 59¢
4¢
$1,283
$26
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 57m
Active
kalshi

Gamba

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 57m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
43%
Yes 45¢No 59¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Draw (Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka)

Trade
27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
$1,304
$14
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 57m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 57m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Cerezo Ōsaka

Trade
31%
Yes 33¢No 72¢
5¢
$1,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 57m
Active
kalshi

Cerezo

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 57m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Gamba Ōsaka and Cerezo Ōsaka on November 8, 2026. Markets exist for Gamba Ōsaka winning, Cerezo Ōsaka winning, or the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi utilize the same core resolution criteria: the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the same fallback data sources and cancellation rules.Primary resolution logic: Official J.League statistics (jleague.jp)

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely without a reschedule, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official J.League statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Gamba Ōsaka and Cerezo Ōsaka.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Gamba vs Cerezo Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for November 8, 2026, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Gamba wins, the 'Gamba' market resolves to Yes; if Cerezo wins, the 'Cerezo' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event operates independently of the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates predictions on the outcome of the Gamba Ōsaka versus Cerezo Ōsaka match from multiple prediction platforms, giving a consensus view of probabilities. Currently, the Osaka Derby market has a total volume of $41 and a 24-hour volume of $41. Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary venues tracked here, allowing you to compare how different communities are pricing the same event. The dashboard provides a unified look at the likelihood of various outcomes, combining insights from diverse forecasting sources to provide a more robust prediction.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and profit, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than sportsbooks, making them a valuable tool for informed forecasting. The current volume of $41 suggests considerable interest in this event.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases with varying risk appetites and information sets, influencing their trading decisions. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can impact price discovery. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and greater price volatility. These differences reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the diverse perspectives of participants.

This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 8, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Gamba Ōsaka versus Cerezo Ōsaka match, verified against credible public reporting. The platform will confirm the winning team based on official sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final result and how it applies to this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Gamba Ōsaka or Cerezo Ōsaka could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also impact the outcome and, consequently, the market. Major tactical announcements or shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage, are also likely to move prices. With a current volume of $41, the market is sensitive to new information and could react quickly to any relevant developments.