TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Galway United FC and Shamrock Rovers, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galway United FC" if Galway United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shamrock Rovers" if Shamrock Rovers are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Galway United FC and Shamrock Rovers, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galway United FC" if Galway United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shamrock Rovers" if Shamrock Rovers are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a team scoring first, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks, though discrepancies can and do occur based on differing information and risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders participating in the market. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system that adapts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on official match data determining which team scored the first goal in the Galway United vs. Shamrock Rovers match. The outcome will be based on the official result as reported by the relevant sporting authorities. This market will settle to 100% for the team that scores first, and 0% for the team that does not, with no partial settlements or ambiguities.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting playing style or fan attendance could also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any perceived momentum shifts based on recent team performance, could all contribute to price movements. A late surge in betting activity on either team in traditional sportsbooks could also influence trading on Polymarket.