TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the South African Premiership, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw. The resolution depends solely on the final score within regular time, excluding any extended play such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Gallants vs Siwelele professional South African Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026: a win for Gallants, a win for Siwelele, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public perception than sportsbooks, although both aim to accurately forecast the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gallants vs Siwelele match, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also move the market. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or sports news coverage, can influence trading activity and, consequently, the prices in this market. Major upsets in related matches or league standings could also indirectly affect trader behavior.