TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Galatasaray vs Barcelona: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Galatasaray vs Barcelona?

Volume:
$1,572,304

Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:58 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,043,506
N/A
N/A
$636,569
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$290,341
N/A
N/A
$107,239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barcelona wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133,877
N/A
N/A
$55,472
Settled
No
kalshi

Galatasaray wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,041
N/A
N/A
$27,631
Settled
No
kalshi

Barcelona wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,591
N/A
N/A
$22,522
Settled
No
kalshi

Galatasaray wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,949
N/A
N/A
$17,411
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Barcelona will win their Champions League match against Galatasaray by more than 1.5 goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives an 89.0% probability to Barcelona winning by more than 1.5 goals. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Galatasaray vs Barcelona professional Champions League soccer game, as determined by the official match results. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026, with final resolution occurring by October 14, 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Galatasaray or Barcelona wins the professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026. A victory by Galatasaray by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals triggers a 'Yes' resolution for the respective markets. Similarly, a Barcelona victory by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals also resolves those markets to 'Yes.' The outcome is determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, and each has its own threshold for resolution. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Galatasaray vs Barcelona match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume of $1,470,906, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $1,572,304. You can also view a price history chart to see how the market has fluctuated over time. This allows you to analyze trader sentiment and potential price movements leading up to the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different outcomes in this contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, you might find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two to see where the discrepancies lie.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Galatasaray vs Barcelona match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders or market orders, and the price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. Essentially, the more people who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will become, and vice-versa.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Galatasaray vs Barcelona match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match, including any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures as defined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the payout to contract holders based on the final outcome and the prices at which contracts were traded. The platform's process ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Galatasaray or Barcelona would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or coaching changes could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements.