TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Süper Lig game between Galatasaray SK and Kasımpaşa SK, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK score more goals than Kasımpaşa SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Galatasaray SK and Kasımpaşa SK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kasımpaşa SK" if Kasımpaşa SK score more goals than Galatasaray SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Süper Lig game between Galatasaray SK and Kasımpaşa SK, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK score more goals than Kasımpaşa SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Galatasaray SK and Kasımpaşa SK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kasımpaşa SK" if Kasımpaşa SK score more goals than Galatasaray SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately assess probabilities and profit from mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the second half of the Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK match will be used to determine the winning share. The outcome will be determined by the official match result, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Galatasaray SK or Kasımpaşa SK would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even unexpected weather conditions on match day, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, live updates during the first half of the match – such as goals scored, red cards issued, or shifts in momentum – will undoubtedly lead to price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events.