TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Süper Lig game between Galatasaray SK and Kasımpaşa SK, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Süper Lig game between Galatasaray SK and Kasımpaşa SK, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. If a significant disparity exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and change as new information becomes available and more traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential result, providing insight into the overall sentiment surrounding the Galatasaray vs. Kasımpaşa match.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Galatasaray vs. Kasımpaşa match, specifically the exact score, will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Galatasaray or Kasımpaşa could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a sudden influx of new information or a change in overall market confidence.