TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK - First Team to Score
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$830

Galatasaray SK

 - Polymarket

Galatasaray SK - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 6:46 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Galatasaray SK

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Galatasaray SK and Fenerbahçe SK, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Galatasaray SK and Fenerbahçe SK, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Galatasaray vs. Fenerbahçe match tracks the current odds of either team scoring first, the total 24-hour trading volume of $826, and the overall volume traded to date, which currently stands at $830. You can also view the price history of this market, allowing you to analyze how predictions have shifted over time. This provides a comprehensive overview of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each outcome in this highly anticipated rivalry game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but this market shows a more even split, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is overestimating that team’s chances. Examining these differences can offer valuable perspectives on the potential outcome.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Galatasaray or Fenerbahçe will score first. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares directly translates into the probability assigned to each team scoring first, offering a real-time assessment of collective predictions. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Galatasaray vs. Fenerbahçe match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Galatasaray or Fenerbahçe would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant momentum shifts in other recent matches involving these teams, could all contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.