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410,833

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK?

Volume:
$3,086,320

Galatasaray

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 4:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Galatasaray

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,424,954
N/A
N/A
$655,902
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Galatasaray SK

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$556,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fenerbahce

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$541,640
N/A
N/A
$354,791
Settled
No
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345,437
N/A
N/A
$209,302
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK)

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Galatasaray SK will win their Super Lig soccer match against Fenerbahçe SK on October 26, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Galatasaray winning is 100.0%, aggregating views from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the Turkish Football Federation (TFF). With a 0.1% probability, the second most likely outcome is a draw between the two teams. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 26, 2026, to see if Galatasaray can secure the win as heavily predicted by the market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: 90 minutes + stoppage time, official data priority, and fallback sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the Turkish Football Federation (TFF).

Core resolution logic:

  • Galatasaray win market resolves 'Yes' if Galatasaray wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Fenerbahçe win market resolves 'Yes' if Fenerbahçe wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Draw market resolves 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • If the game is canceled with no makeup game, the Galatasaray/Fenerbahçe win markets resolve 'No', and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics aren't available within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, then consensus reporting. If no data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores after market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the match's scheduled completion time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Monday, October 26, 2026 between Galatasaray SK and Fenerbahçe SK.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe professional Super Lig soccer match originally scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either team’s market occurs only if that specific team wins the match in regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time, with no account for post-match deciding events such as extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives. However, sportsbooks may react faster to breaking news, while prediction markets can sometimes be slower to incorporate new information. Examining both provides a more complete picture of the expected outcome of this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with differing opinions and risk tolerance, leading to variations in demand. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence pricing. Furthermore, different fee structures and market-making activity on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences across venues.