TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Galatasaray SK and FC Barcelona, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Galatasaray SK and FC Barcelona, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates independent assessments. However, discrepancies can occur, especially early in the market’s lifecycle or when significant news breaks. It's common to see initial differences, as sportsbooks set lines based on their models and public betting patterns, while this market evolves organically based on trader conviction. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to that outcome by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders express their beliefs, the prices converge, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to identify and exploit mispricings, leading to relatively accurate probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Galatasaray SK or FC Barcelona—scores the first goal in the match. In the event that neither team scores, that outcome will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final result and ensure timely settlement of their positions.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Galatasaray SK or FC Barcelona would likely cause price shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements right before the game could create volatility. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public perception regarding each team’s chances could also move the market.