TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Austrian Bundesliga soccer match between GAK and Hartberg. The result is determined by which team wins in regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The markets will adjust fairly if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the GAK vs Hartberg professional Austrian Bundesliga soccer match originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If GAK wins, the 'GAK' market resolves to Yes; if Hartberg wins, the 'Hartberg' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the GAK vs Hartberg match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the GAK vs Hartberg match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated information and beliefs of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event's potential results, based on the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the GAK vs Hartberg match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either GAK or Hartberg could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could impact trading activity. Even public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to evolving information surrounding the GAK vs Hartberg match.