TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:11 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a single Allsvenskan soccer match between GAIS and IFK Goteborg on October 25, 2026. Markets exist for GAIS winning, IFK Goteborg winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Allsvenskan game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between GAIS and IFK Goteborg.
The event resolves based on the result of the GAIS vs Goteborg professional Allsvenskan soccer match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: GAIS win, Goteborg win, or a tie. If GAIS wins, the GAIS market resolves to Yes; if Goteborg wins, the Goteborg market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Differences in user base, trading activity, and market maker strategies all contribute to variations in pricing. The volume on each platform, currently $61,862 overall, also impacts price discovery. Furthermore, each platform may attract different types of traders with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing assessments of the probabilities involved in the Swedish Allsvenskan match. These factors create independent price signals, even though both platforms track the same underlying event.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact expectations. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could also drive price movements. Major upsets in other related matches within the Allsvenskan league could also indirectly affect how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes in this particular contest.