TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Gabon vs. Lesotho
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Gabon vs. Lesotho?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$416
19%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Gabon

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:12h:25m

Gabon wins

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gabon

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 12h
Active
polymarket

Gabon

Trade
77%
1%
Yes 82¢No 29¢
11¢
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 9h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 10.5¢Max: 11¢
kalshi

Lesotho

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 12h
Active
polymarket

Lesotho

Trade
7%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
4¢
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 9h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 12h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Gabon vs. Lesotho)

Trade
17%
1%
Yes 21¢No 87¢
8¢
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 9h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 8¢Max: 8¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of the Gabon vs. Lesotho AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for November 13, 2026. The markets ask whether Gabon, Lesotho, or a Tie will win the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms define resolution based on the same criteria: the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, including the possibility of a tie.Primary resolution logic: Official match results from a recognized soccer statistics provider (e.g., ESPN, Soccerway)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Gabon wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Lesotho wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a Tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed and rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the result of the rescheduled match, using the same resolution criteria.
  • Match Abandonment: If the match is abandoned before 90 minutes plus stoppage time are completed, the market will likely be voided, unless a governing body (e.g., FIFA, CAF) makes a definitive ruling on the result.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match results are available from a recognized soccer statistics provider, typically within 24-48 hours of the match completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Gabon and Lesotho, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Gabon vs Lesotho professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for November 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Gabon wins within regulation time, the 'Gabon' market resolves to Yes. If Lesotho wins within regulation time, the 'Lesotho' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the outcome after standard time and do not account for results determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes for the Gabon vs. Lesotho match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on the probability of each result, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants. The dashboard provides a comparative look at how traders on each platform assess the potential for various scenarios in this match, offering a dynamic and real-time perspective on expectations.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market’s odds reflect what participants believe the true probabilities are, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. As more information becomes available, the prices in this market may converge with or diverge from sportsbook offerings, depending on how the crowd interprets the new data.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can vary due to several factors, including differences in user base, market design, and liquidity. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the specific rules and fees associated with each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. It's also possible that differing opinions on the relative strength of the teams involved in the Gabon vs. Lesotho match are reflected in the prices on each platform, leading to temporary discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Gabon vs. Lesotho match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified outcome of this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Gabon or Lesotho could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location might also impact expectations. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or news coverage, could drive trading volume and alter prices. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.